Base training · measured · complete
werbos's owned 730M base — 10.68B tokens, one rented H200 — trained to a held-out loss of 2.049 — read seven ways. Then a cautionary eighth: the first fine-tune, where a beautiful loss curve lied. Every phase and rate below is computed from the run, not eyeballed off a curve.
loading…raw + smoothed to step 146.7k, then the final checkpoint · best · held-out
log axis · PPL = eloss · the early collapse
Δloss / 1k — where the learning actually happens (note the plateau thrash)
the relationship, post-warmup — loss as the cosine LR decays 100%→10%
the cross-run axis — how far 1B, 5B, 10B tokens gets you
loss reduction per billion tokens, by phase
| phase | steps | Δloss | perplexity | Δloss / 1k | learning rate |
|---|
336M talk model · fine-tuned on 1M card-grounded conversations · loss 5.23 → 2.53, held-out 2.59, no overfit — and the model got worse